I seem to be constantly asked, “How’s the book selling?” My answer? Beats the bejeebers out of me.
The fact that I have no clue how sales are surprises most people. So, I thought I’d share the facts as I know them with all of you. Unless your publisher gifts you with the information early, you have very few ways to estimate sales prior to your first royalty statement which easily may not appear until a year after your book hits the shelves. Eeek, you say? Yeah, eek.
Luckily, our friend technology has given obsessive authors a few ways to drive themselves crazy trying to estimate sales.
- Ingrams - Ingrams is one of the biggest book distributors in the U.S. According to Hoovers.com They have over 30,000 cutomers and represent 17,000 publishers. However, this is still a small segment of the book selling world. They do though offer crazy authors a way to get a feel for sales. Ingrams has a 1-800 number set up where you can find out how many copies of any given book they have in stock, back orders, quantity shipped this week, last week and year-to-date. However, just because a book has shipped from Ingrams doesn’t mean it is sold. They are a distrbutor so it just means it is now sitting on a bookshelf somewhere - hopefully being slipped into a reader’s bag as we speak, but you can’t know for sure. Anyhoo, the number I have heard is to take the Ingram’s number and multiply it by 20 to get an estimate of how many copies of your book are actually out in the world and not sitting in a warehouse. Obviously this is highly scientific.
- Amazon and Barnes and Noble.com - these online booksellers quite nicely provide a ranking number. The lower your number the better your sales, however the difference between a ranking of 100,000 and 200,000 is very likely such a small amount as to have no meaning, but authors still check religiously. Also, online sales in total amount to less than 5% of book sales.
- Bookscan - RWA has a deal with Neilson Bookscan that allows members to see sales for the top 100 romances each week. To make this list you have to on average sell at least 850 copies in one week at the outlets Bookscan surveys. These locations are: B. Dalton, Barnes and Noble (including online), Books-a-Million (statistically weighted), Borders (including Waldenbooks and Borders Express), Deseret Book Co., Hastings, Musicland, Tower Music and Books, General Independents (statistically weighted), Follett College Stores, Amazon, Costco, Target and K Mart. Of course, if you don’t make the list, this is no help whatsoever to you - and there are a few key booksellers missing, you know who?
So, those are the only ways I know of to estimate sales - not too inspiring are they?
Now back to Bookscan. I mentioned they were missing some retailers. How about grocery stores and Walmart? Yep, they are big time in book sales.
Ever thought about how many of each of these stores there are? Here are some rough numbers: Walmart 1,667, Barnes & Noble 647, Borders (including Waldenbooks and Express) 1,250, Books-a-Million 170, Hastings 150, Target 1,330, K-Mart 1,500, Indigo (Canadian bookseller) 300. Not to mention the thousands of grocery stores in the U.S. If each Walmart sold just 3 copies of your book that would be 5,000 copies. Sure, Barnes and Noble and Borders tend to carry more copies of each book, but Walmart carries a ton of power in the book selling world. And nothing in my list accounts for them or the grocers.
So, that is why I have no clue how sales are. Do you? If so, share!









